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							Tech 
							Business  | 
                         
                        
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                          Sep 18, 2012 | 
                         
                        
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                          By 
							Willard Foxton | 
                         
                        
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								| The Senkaku Islands: 
								not much of a holiday destination (Photo: AP) | 
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					In 
					Baotao, inner Mongolia, a huge mine operates day and night. 
					Workers in chemical suits hose acid into tunnels. Huge 
					posters bearing images of smiling employees proclaim "Become 
					the leader in Rare Earth mining!" as huge refineries and 
					factories belch smoke into the sky. Yet this huge centrally 
					planned project is in danger because of events thousands of 
					miles away. 
					
					You 
					probably haven't heard of the Senkaku islands. Or, as they 
					are known in China, the Diaoyou islands. Called the Pinnacle 
					islands on British naval charts, they are a collection of 
					uninhabited, barren rocks, home to a rare albatross and a 
					exceptionally rare type of mole. Not a great holiday 
					destination. 
					
					
					Last week, 
					
					Japan arranged to buy the Senkaku 
					islands from their private 
					owners. There was uproar in China. In Beijing, cars were 
					burned and Japanese businesses were attacked, and riots in 
					Shenzen. The Senkaku/Diaoyou dispute has long been a 
					flashpoint between the two nations. Every few years, 
					ultra-nationalists from either side (or, indeed,from Taiwan, 
					who also claim them) will sail out there, raise a flag, and 
					cause a row. 
					
					
					However, it's never been this serious before. Regardless of 
					silly orientalist ideas about "losing face", a quick glance 
					at a map reveals why the governments care about these rocks. 
					The islands are mid-way between Japan and Taiwan; a Chinese 
					base there would push the range of carrier-killing ballistic 
					missiles an extra four or five hundred miles into the 
					Pacific. 
					
					The 
					Chinese government has issued threatening statements, and 
					the Japanese government has threatened right back, ominously 
					declaring they had US support for nationalising the islands. 
					Currently, Chinese and Japanese gunboats are steaming 
					towards the islands and everyone in the Pacific is holding 
					their breath. However, you may be asking why you, or the 
					mine workers at Baotao, should care. After all, it is 
					unlikely to come to a shooting war. 
					
					The 
					mines at Baotao have slowed production in the light of the 
					Diaoyou situation; they provide around 99 per cent of the 
					world's supply of rare earths. Indeed, the Chinese 
					government has explicitly stated it will not allow the 
					shipping of these rare earths to Japan, which currently 
					consumes around 60 per cent of Baotao's output. 
					
					Those 
					rare earths, shipped from Mongolia to Japan, go into 
					practically every gadget we buy or make. Almost every 
					flatscreen TV, every mobile phone, everything that requires 
					memory, requires parts made in Japan with Chinese minerals. 
					The Japanese can't switch suppliers or buy the elements from 
					somewhere else for more money. No rare earths, no 
					manufacturing. 
					
					It's 
					not just the gadget industry, either. In news that will 
					delight my colleague James Delingpole, the renewables 
					industry is also dependent on the mines of Baotao. You can't 
					make a Prius battery or a wind turbine magnet without 
					Neodymium mined there and machined in Japan. 
					
					The 
					Japanese have been aware of this nightmare scenario for some 
					time; indeed, they've invested in sci-fi schemes such as 
					underwater rare earth mining to try to wean themselves off 
					their dependence on Chinese minerals. Unfortunately, the 
					crisis has blown up before these projects could bear fruit. 
					
					If the 
					crisis around the Senkakus, there will be huge consequences 
					for all of us, as supply chains all over the world break at 
					the Japanese link. For all our sakes, let's hope this 
					dispute is resolved quickly.  |